The Essentials of Probability 1. Coins, Dice, and Cards 1.1 Experiments and Events 1.2 Probabilities 1.3 Permutations and Combinations 1.4 Urn Problems 1.5 Repeated Experiments *1.6 Probabilities of Unions 1.7 Chapter Summary and Review Problems 2. Conditional Probability 2.1 Independence 2.2 Conditional Probability 2.3 Two-Stage Experiments 2.4 Bayes Formula *2.5 Recursion 2.6 Chapter Summary and Review Problems 3. Distributions 3.1 Examples, Poisson Approximation to Binomial 3.2 Density and Distribution Functions 3.3 Functions of Random Variables 3.4 Joint Distributions 3.5 Marginal Distributions, Independence *3.6 Functions of Several Random Variables 3.7 Sums of Independent Random Variables *3.8 Conditional Distributions 3.9 Chapter Summary and Review Problems 4. Expected Value 4.1 Examples 4.2 Moments, Generating Functions 4.3 Properties of Expectation 4.4 Variance and Covariance *4.5 Correlation *4.6 Conditional Expectation 4.7 Chapter Summary and Review Problems 5. Limit Theorems 5.1 Laws of Large Numbers 5.2 The Central Limit Theorem 5.3 Confidence Intervals 5.4 Hypothesis Testing 5.5 Chapter Summary and Review Problems